← Mox Valley Games MRC Regional
Fire SlimesTier 1
at Mox Valley Games MRC Regional
decks
2
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
5-2-5
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.3%
avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
52.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1162
· median 1162
· range 1123–1200
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1050
Q1 1199
Q3 1336
1525
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 17.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.8% | -6.9 |
| Slimes | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 49.2% | -0.8 |
| Water Allies | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.1% | +6.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.9 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -2.8 |
